One thing leads to another: Modelling earthquake occurrences

The timestamps of earthquakes form a point pattern in time and the locations form a point pattern in space. We model earthquakes in the Canterbury region using temporal, spatial and spatio-temporal point processes. We also use temporal self-exciting models to describe how after an earthquake occurs, there is an immediate increase in probability of another earthquake event. In this project, we use latent Gaussian fields to explain the spatial and temporal structure behind earthquake events. We explore how both spatial and temporal information can contribute to earthquake occurrences.

Supervised by Dr. Charlotte Jones-Todd.